Bo Nix
2025 Season Ground Truthnflverse official · 17 GP · 17 starts
3,931
Pass YDS
231.2/G · 8th
25
Pass TD
1.47/G · T-9th
11
INT
1.8% INT%
63.4%
Cmp %
388/612 · T-1st
356
Rush YDS
83 car · 5 TD
30
Total TD
25P · 5R
17
Starts
17 GP · T-1st
The read: Nix cleared 229.5 in 8 of 17 starts last year (47.1%). The DraftKings main line devigs to Over 50.4% / Under 49.6% (4.5% hold). The 270+ (+7.3% edge) and 300+ (+8.6% edge) rungs carry the real market edge over his empirical frequency. Tap any rung to ask the desk.
Passing Yards — DraftKings vs Kalshi vs 2025 Actuals
↳ ask deskVerified lines (DK Event 34118255 / Market 334622474) · tap a rung to ask
| Milestone | DK American | DK Implied | Kalshi Ask | 2025 Actuals | Empirical % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160+ YDS | −1020 | 91.0% | 87¢ | 14 / 17 | 82.4% | −8.6% |
| 170+ YDS | −690 | 87.3% | 80¢ | 14 / 17 | 82.4% | −4.9% |
| 200+ YDS | −254 | 71.7% | 67¢ | 10 / 17 | 58.8% | −12.9% |
| 229+ YDS | −111 | 52.6% | 53¢ | 8 / 17 | 47.1% | −5.5% |
| 230+ YDS | −108 | 51.9% | 53¢ | 8 / 17 | 47.1% | −4.8% |
| 250+ YDS | +156 | 39.0% | 37¢ | 6 / 17 | 35.3% | −3.7% |
| 270+ YDS | +257 | 28.0% | 25¢ | 6 / 17 | 35.3% | +7.3% |
| 300+ YDS | +569 | 14.9% | 14¢ | 4 / 17 | 23.5% | +8.6% |
| 320+ YDS | +970 | 9.3% | 11¢ | 3 / 17 | 17.6% | +8.3% |
| 350+ YDS | +1980 | 4.8% | 6¢ | 1 / 17 | 5.9% | +1.1% |
Live lines reconciled from DraftKings sportsbook-nash feed (Event 34118255 / Market 334622474) and Kalshi CLOB (KXNFLPASSYDS-26SEP14DENKC). Edge = 2025 Empirical Hit Rate minus DraftKings Implied Probability.
Volume Concentration by Ladder Tier
Kalshi CLOB lifetime volume · KXNFLPASSYDS-26SEP14DENKC
| Strike | Yes Ask | Lifetime Vol | Share | 24h Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160+ | 87¢ | 150 | 7.8% | |
| 200+ | 67¢ | 93 | 3.2% | |
| 229+ | 53¢ | 64 | 33.0% | |
| 250+ | 37¢ | 113 | 28.8% | |
| 300+ | 14¢ | 780 | 9.9% | |
| 350+ | 6¢ | 143 | 17.4% |
Lifetime volume 1,354 contracts across 9 rungs. The 300+ tier is the volume magnet — 56.3% of all flow. Fresh 24h money rotated to the 229+ (33.0%) and 250+ (28.8%).
The Drip · NFL. Bo Nix live DraftKings ladders (event 34118255 / market 334622474) and Kalshi CLOB (KXNFLPASSYDS/PASSTDS-26SEP14DENKC), Denver @ Kansas City. 2025 actuals from nflverse. Informational only. 21+. 1-800-GAMBLER.